Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea (Premier League, 27 November 2026, 20:00): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.88. Second tip: Chelsea to win at odds of 2.05. The bookmakers' odds give Nottingham Forest 26%, the draw 26% and Chelsea 48%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Nottingham Forest are 16th with 9 points from 10 matches (2W 3D 5L); Chelsea are 5th with 16 points (5W 1D 4L).
What to expect
We expect Chelsea to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.8%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we rate at 56%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 56% and of over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 52%.
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, best odds 1.88). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Nottingham Forest will be without: no absences. Chelsea are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.78 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
| Market average | 3.63 | 3.66 | 2.01 |
| Lowest odds | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.83 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.97 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.67 | 55.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.10 | 44.3% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 8/11/26, 12:52. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.8%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 16th (9 points), Chelsea 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Correct score prediction
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: absences and injuries
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest
Home and away
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: last matches of both teams
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
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Questions and answers
What is the tip for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Over 2.5 goals (1.88); Chelsea to win (2.05).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Nottingham Forest win 26%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 48%.
When and where is the match played?
27 November 2026 at 20:00, venue: City Ground, Nottingham.
Who will be missing?
Nottingham Forest: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.88) and of under 2.5 goals 48% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 56% (odds 1.67).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.8%), followed by 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.4%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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