Our tip for Tottenham vs Ipswich (Premier League, 21 November 2026, 15:00): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.66. Second tip: Tottenham to win at odds of 1.56. The bookmakers' odds give Tottenham 62%, the draw 21% and Ipswich 16%. The most likely score is 2–1.
Tottenham vs Ipswich prediction
Premier League Matchweek 11 brings Tottenham and Ipswich together at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00. Our main tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65, which the bookmakers rate at a 60% chance. We like the goals more than the result, although Tottenham are the side we would back to win.
Key facts
- Likely result: Tottenham 2–1 Ipswich, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Tottenham 11th (12 points), Ipswich 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Tottenham 3W 3D 4L (10:11), Ipswich 3W 2D 5L (15:20).
- Absences: Tottenham 0, Ipswich 0.
Tottenham at home in ninth place
Tottenham sit ninth in the Premier League table for this competition, with 12 points from nine matches. They have won three, drawn three and lost three, and their goals read 10 scored to 10 conceded. At home the picture is more encouraging: two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 7 scored and 6 conceded at the Hotspur Stadium.
Their wider form is better than that middle-of-the-table record suggests. Across all competitions, Tottenham's last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. Both teams scored in two of those five, and more than 2.5 goals came in one. The defeat in that run was away at Leeds, and the three wins came at home and away alike, so we see a side that has been more solid than its league table indicates.
Who will win Tottenham vs Ipswich?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Ipswich away from home and their goal problem
Ipswich are 14th in the same table, with 11 points from nine games: three wins, two draws and four defeats. Their goals are 14 scored and 18 conceded, which works out at 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per match in this competition. Away from Portman Road, they have won one, drawn one and lost three, with 9 scored and 13 conceded. Those are the Premier League figures only, so they do not include cup or European results.
Across all competitions, Ipswich's last five matches were far more mixed: one win, two draws and two defeats, with 7 scored and 8 conceded. Both teams scored in four of those five, and more than 2.5 goals came in three. That is the figure that matters most to us, because a side that keeps conceding and keeps being involved in high-scoring games is the kind of side that makes an over bet pay.
No earlier meeting and no reported absences on either side
We have found no earlier meeting between these two clubs, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on. No absences have been reported for either side, which means we are judging the match on form, scoring rates and the prices on offer rather than on any team news.
Tottenham vs Ipswich: absences and injuries
Tottenham
- No reported absences
Ipswich
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Where the prices sit and why we like the goals
The bookmakers make Tottenham clear favourites, with a 64% chance of a win at best odds of 1.54. A draw is priced at 21% and an Ipswich win at 15%. These are the market's expectations for the match, not a count of past results, and the match result carries a bookmaker margin of 6.4%. The same market gives the total goals line a 60% chance, and that is where we want our money.
Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.65 is our main tip, and we would take it at that price. Our reasons are these:
- Ipswich have had more than 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions.
- The expected total for this match is about 3 goals.
- The bookmakers give the over a 60% chance at best odds of 1.65.
The main tip settles as follows: a 2-1, 3-0 or 3-1 result wins, while 2-0, 1-0 and 1-1 lose. The most likely exact scores are 2-0 at 10.4%, 1-0 at 9.9% and 2-1 at 9.9%, so the bet depends on whether the game opens up a little more than the favourites' typical script.
Tottenham to win at home as the second tip
Our second tip is Tottenham to win at odds 1.54, with a 64% chance from the market. Tottenham have won three of their last five matches across all competitions and lost only one, while Ipswich have won just one of theirs. Tottenham are also ahead of Ipswich in the Premier League table, sitting ninth on 12 points against Ipswich's 14th on 11. Their home record in this competition, two wins, one draw and two defeats, is not dominant, but it is enough for us to back them at this price.
The second tip settles on 2-0, 1-0, 2-1, 3-0 and 3-1 Tottenham wins, and loses only on 1-1. A draw is the main risk here, and the bookmakers give it 21%, which is why we are comfortable with the price rather than excited by it.
Tottenham vs Ipswich: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Correct score prediction
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Tottenham
Home and away
Other bets worth a look
These are the other markets we would consider, at the odds on offer:
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.20, with a chance of 80%. The price is short, but it sits comfortably with our main tip.
- Tottenham -0.5 at odds 1.50, with a chance of 64%. Tottenham must win by one goal or more for this to win, so it is the handicap version of the home win we like. We would not pair it with anything backing Ipswich.
Our view is that the goals are the value here, with Tottenham as the likelier winners. If you want one bet, take the over at 1.65, and if you want a second, the Tottenham win at 1.54 is the one we would add.
Tottenham vs Ipswich: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.56 | 4.72 | 6.11 |
| Market average | 1.50 | 4.42 | 5.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.18 | 5.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.60 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.47 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.11 | 2.09 | 44.3% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 8/11/26, 12:52. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.5%.
Tottenham vs Ipswich: last matches of both teams
Tottenham
Ipswich
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Tottenham vs Ipswich?
Over 2.5 goals (1.66); Tottenham to win (1.56).
Who will win Tottenham vs Ipswich?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Tottenham win 62%, draw 21%, Ipswich win 16%.
When and where is the match played?
21 November 2026 at 15:00, venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
Who will be missing?
Tottenham: no absences. Ipswich: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.66) and of under 2.5 goals 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 56% (odds 1.70).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–1 (9.9%), followed by 2–0 (9.9%) and 1–1 (9.5%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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