Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction: Tottenham to Win
Our preferred Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur bet is a Tottenham win at 2.65. Saturday's lunchtime kick‑off at Elland Road pairs a Leeds side winless in five with a Spurs team reborn under Roberto De Zerbi – and both form and history point the same way.
Tottenham have won three straight league games, beating Coventry 3‑1 before back‑to‑back 2‑0 successes against Chelsea and Crystal Palace. De Zerbi's side have climbed to ninth, only two points off the top five, and are chasing a fourth consecutive league win for the first time in over two years.
The head‑to‑head at Elland Road is emphatic: Spurs have won their last three visits by a combined score of 10‑2, and Leeds have not kept a clean sheet against the North Londoners in 16 consecutive meetings stretching back to 2000.
The counter‑argument is Leeds' home record – the Whites are unbeaten in their last eight league games at Elland Road and are one of only four Premier League sides yet to lose at home this season. Even so, five games without a win and a poor recent record in this fixture leave us on the visitors at a generous 2.65.
Key facts
- Likely result: Leeds 1–1 Tottenham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Leeds 9th (14 points), Tottenham 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Leeds 2W 5D 2L (9:8), Tottenham 3W 3D 3L (10:10).
- H2H: 10 matches: Leeds 3W 1D 6L, goals 13–22.
- Absences: Leeds 0, Tottenham 0.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Date, Kick‑Off Time
Leeds United host Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday, 7 November 2026, in the tenth round of the Premier League. Kick‑off at Elland Road is 12:30 local time (GMT).
Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Odds and Best Markets
The match market is close to a coin flip, with Tottenham narrow favourites at around 2.65 and Leeds priced only slightly longer. Given Spurs' momentum and their dominant recent record at Elland Road, the away price looks the value side.
Goals markets are finely balanced: seven of Leeds' nine league games this season have gone under 2.5, but meetings between these clubs traditionally produce chances. Dominic Calvert‑Lewin, seven goals in his last seven home appearances, leads the anytime scorer interest for the hosts.
Leeds vs Tottenham: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.87 | 3.56 | 2.67 |
| Market average | 2.74 | 3.35 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.57 | 3.14 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.29 | 73.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.90 | 50.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.39 | 28.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.72 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 7/11/26, 12:01. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.3%.
Leeds vs Tottenham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
In What Form Are Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur Coming Into the Match?
Leeds took eight points from their opening four games but have since gone five without a win (three draws, two defeats), most recently losing 2‑0 at Bournemouth. Daniel Farke's side sit 12th and remain calm about reaching safety, but the early‑season momentum has faded.
Tottenham's season has turned the other way. After a six‑game winless start, De Zerbi has produced three consecutive victories – Coventry, Chelsea and Crystal Palace – and Spurs arrive on a three‑game unbeaten away run, scoring freely and defending with increasing confidence.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Leeds
Home and away
Leeds vs Tottenham: last matches of both teams
Leeds
Tottenham
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Key Pre‑Match Statistics
Leeds have collected only five points from their last 13 league meetings with Spurs, losing ten of them. Tottenham's last three wins at Elland Road came by an aggregate of 10‑2, and Leeds' last clean sheet in this fixture was a 1‑0 home win in February 2000.
Leeds' home form is the counterweight: eight league games unbeaten at Elland Road (four wins, four draws). Spurs, though, have scored in every away game of their current run and have rediscovered their cutting edge with seven goals across the last three wins.
Head to head
All matchesLeeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur H2H History
The last meeting, in May, finished 1‑1 in North London – Mathys Tel's opener cancelled out by a Dominic Calvert‑Lewin penalty. Before that, however, this fixture had been one‑way traffic in Tottenham's favour for years.
Spurs' dominance at Elland Road is the standout trend: three consecutive away wins by a combined 10‑2, and a 16‑match run in which Leeds have always conceded. History is firmly on the visitors' side.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Leeds have no reported absences. Tottenham also have no reported absences.
Leeds vs Tottenham: absences and injuries
Leeds
- No reported absences
Tottenham
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
LeedsWLDDLTottenhamLWWWDReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick‑off at 12:30 GMT at Elland Road, Leeds.
What is our Leeds vs Tottenham prediction?
We back Tottenham to win at 2.65 – three straight victories under De Zerbi and three consecutive wins at Elland Road by a combined 10‑2.
What is the team news?
Neither side has reported any absences.
What is the tip for Leeds vs Tottenham?
Tottenham win (2.65)
Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Leeds win 35%, draw 28%, Tottenham win 37%.
When and where is the match played?
7 November 2026 at 12:30, venue: Elland Road, Leeds. Referee: John Brooks.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.03) and of under 2.5 goals 51% (odds 1.99).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 55% (odds 1.72).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.4%), followed by 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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