Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chelsea against Tottenham: 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stamford Bridge (London), referee C. Kavanagh. Chelsea (50%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Chelsea are 5th with 16 points from 10 matches (5W 1D 4L); Tottenham are 11th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Chelsea average 2.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match in the competition; Tottenham score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
- Form in the competition. Chelsea: 4W 1D 2L, goals 17–13; Tottenham: 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. Of their 43 meetings, Chelsea have 24 wins and Tottenham 8 wins, with 11 draws; goals 77–47.
What to expect
We expect Chelsea to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we rate at 62%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 62% and of over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 43; Chelsea 24 wins, 11 draws, Tottenham 8 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.9 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Chelsea 17–13, Tottenham 6–10.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61%.
- Absences: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best odds 1.61). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Chelsea will be without: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Tottenham are missing: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.97 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.87 | 3.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.50 | 62.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 13:40. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.1%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chelsea 5th (16 points), Tottenham 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Chelsea 4W 1D 2L (17:13), Tottenham 1W 3D 3L (6:10).
- H2H: 43 matches: Chelsea 24W 11D 8L, goals 77–47.
- Absences: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Chelsea vs Tottenham: absences and injuries
Chelsea
- P. Chavarriainjury · will miss the match
- E. Emeghamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Gittensankle injury · will miss the match
- R. Jamesknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Martinezabsence · will miss the match
Tottenham
- R. Bentancurred card · will miss the match
- L. Bergvallknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Mudrykankle injury · will miss the match
- W. Odobertknee injury · will miss the match
- X. Simonsknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Udogieknee injury · will miss the match
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Chelsea
Home and away
Chelsea vs Tottenham: last matches of both teams
Chelsea
Tottenham
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
ChelseaLWLWWTottenhamLWWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Chelsea to win (1.97); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Chelsea win 50%, draw 25%, Tottenham win 25%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 17:30, venue: Stamford Bridge, London. Referee: C. Kavanagh.
Who will be missing?
Chelsea: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Tottenham: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.61) and of under 2.5 goals 39% (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 62% (odds 1.50).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.4%), followed by 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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