Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Everton against Chelsea: 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), referee P. Tierney. We expect a close match. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Wins: Everton win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Everton lose.
Everton vs Chelsea: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Everton are 6th with 16 points from 10 matches (4W 4D 2L); Chelsea are 5th with 16 points (5W 1D 4L).
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we rate at 63%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 61% and of over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58%.
- Absences: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes
Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 61%, best odds 1.55). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Everton will be without: no absences. Chelsea are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Everton vs Chelsea: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.10 | 3.84 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 3.66 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.55 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 09:43. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.5%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Everton 6th (16 points), Chelsea 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Everton vs Chelsea: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Everton vs Chelsea: absences and injuries
Everton
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
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Home and away
Everton vs Chelsea: last matches of both teams
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Chelsea
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Questions and answers
What is the tip for Everton vs Chelsea?
Everton +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Everton win 32%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 42%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 12:30, venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: P. Tierney.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70) and of under 2.5 goals 42% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 61% (odds 1.55).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.2%), followed by 1–2 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.0%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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