Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Arsenal against Everton: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Emirates Stadium (London), referee T. Harrington. Arsenal (68%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Wins: Everton win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Everton lose by 1. Loses: Everton lose by 2 or more.
Arsenal vs Everton: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Arsenal are 1st with 27 points from 10 matches (9W 0D 1L); Everton are 6th with 16 points (4W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match in the competition; Everton score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
- Form in the competition. Arsenal: 6W 0D 1L, goals 11–5; Everton: 2W 4D 1L, goals 8–7.
- Head to head. Of their 35 meetings, Arsenal have 21 wins and Everton 7 wins, with 7 draws; goals 61–29.
What to expect
We expect Arsenal to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 2–0 (12.1%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we rate at 66%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 48% and of over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 35; Arsenal 21 wins, 7 draws, Everton 7 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Arsenal 11–5, Everton 8–7.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55%.
- Absences: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best odds 1.84). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Arsenal will be without: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Arsenal vs Everton: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.48 | 5.35 | 9.10 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.83 | 7.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.95 | 2.80 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.98 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.8% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 13:40. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.4%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Arsenal 2–0 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Arsenal 1st (27 points), Everton 6th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Arsenal 6W 0D 1L (11:5), Everton 2W 4D 1L (8:7).
- H2H: 35 matches: Arsenal 21W 7D 7L, goals 61–29.
- Absences: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Arsenal vs Everton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Arsenal vs Everton: absences and injuries
Arsenal
- B. Sakathigh injury · will miss the match
- W. Salibaback injury · will miss the match
- C. Tzolishamstring injury · will miss the match
Everton
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Arsenal
Home and away
Arsenal vs Everton: last matches of both teams
Arsenal
Everton
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
ArsenalWWWWWEvertonWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Arsenal vs Everton?
Everton +1.25 (Asian handicap) (2.06); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Arsenal win 68%, draw 20%, Everton win 12%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Emirates Stadium, London. Referee: T. Harrington.
Who will be missing?
Arsenal: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.84) and of under 2.5 goals 45% (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 48% (odds 1.98).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–0 (12.1%), followed by 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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