Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction, tip and odds – 1 November 2026, Premier League

Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

Expert forecast for the Liverpool‑Arsenal clash

We recommend the under 2.5 goals market for Liverpool vs Arsenal at decimal odds 1.95. Arsenal have allowed just 6.2 xG and have been tested by 24 on‑target attempts across their opening eight Premier League fixtures, while recording five shut‑outs. Liverpool, on the other hand, have secured four clean sheets in six league outings since September.

The analysis focuses on the present defensive performances of both teams instead of the match’s usual goal‑fest reputation. Liverpool still have a strong offensive threat with Alexander Isak, who has netted six times across his most recent six league games. Arsenal’s forward choices stay in doubt until the final fitness updates are released. A quick opening score or a dismissal could instantly shift the balance, rendering this a prudent pick rather than a bold forecast.

Pick: under 2.5 goals in regular time. Odds: 1.95. The wager succeeds if the match finishes with 0‑2 goals and fails when 3 or more are scored. Achieving a win‑rate above 51.28 % is required for profit; we make no claim of a calibrated edge.

Liverpool meets Arsenal: schedule and stadium details

At Anfield, Liverpool will welcome Arsenal this Sunday, 1 November 2026, with the match starting at 16:30.

This Premier League clash pits a side that has amassed 21 points in eight matches against a team sitting on 15 points. The league standings alone aren’t enough to pinpoint the most appealing betting market.

Matchup between Liverpool and Arsenal: odds and betting options

• Liverpool win: 2.90
• Draw: 3.50
• Arsenal win: 2.33
• Over 2.5 goals: 1.86
• Under 2.5 goals: 1.95
• Arsenal or draw: 1.37

Arsenal appear as the cheapest option, yet a modest price isn’t synonymous with merit. Our model estimates a 41.8 % probability for an Arsenal win, 32.7 % for Liverpool and 25.5 % for a stalemate. With odds set at 2.33, an Arsenal triumph would require a 42.92 % chance to be profitable, indicating that the odds could be marginally inflated.

Additional options shown are total corners above/below 9.5 at 1.83, Liverpool corners exceeding 4.5 at 1.75 or staying below at 1.90, Arsenal corners above 4.5 at 1.70 or below at 1.95, total cards above 4.5 at 2.00 and below at 1.66, and Isak exceeding 0.5 offsides at 1.95. Lacking solid, matchup‑specific odds, the under 2.5 goals bet remains the most compelling choice.

Assessing Liverpool’s and Arsenal’s recent performance

Liverpool have won their last two league matches, beating Brentford 2‑1 away and Brighton 2‑0 at home. Their overall record after eight games is four wins, three draws and one loss.

Arsenal have secured victory in seven of their first eight Premier League matches, most recently beating Everton 2‑0. Their recent League Cup departure via penalties ought to be viewed independently of their league performances. The solid defensive capabilities of both teams make the under 2.5 goals market the logical choice.

Essential data before Liverpool meets Arsenal

Arsenal clean sheets: 5 in 8 league games

Arsenal expected goals against: 6.2 in 8 league games

Arsenal have encountered 24 shots on target over 8 league fixtures

Liverpool clean sheets: 4 in 6 league games since September

Alexander Isak goals: 6 in his last 6 league appearances

These statistics show recent form yet they cannot assure a similar outcome. The dataset is limited and the strength of opponents, game contexts, and line‑ups may affect the results. Clean‑sheet tallies serve as supporting information rather than a precise likelihood for under 2.5 goals.

Past encounters between Liverpool and Arsenal

In the two league meetings last season only one goal was scored, by Dominik Szoboszlai in Liverpool’s home win. By contrast, the 19 league encounters from January 2016 to May 2025 each featured at least two goals and averaged 4.1 goals per game.

Arsenal have not secured a victory in their previous 13 Premier League outings at Anfield, managing five draws and suffering eight defeats.
Nevertheless, the latest defensive statistics are more relevant for this forecast.

Liverpool vs Arsenal team news and key players

Bukayo Saka is showing signs of improvement, though he still needs additional minutes, and Noni Maduke will only be available if his fitness checks out. Declan Rice, Riccardo Calafiori and Christos Tzolis participated in sessions and may be chosen, while Max Dowman’s suspension appeal was denied.

Recent information indicates Dominik Szoboszlai and Victor Munoz could feature for Liverpool, while Florian Wirtz is back after an ankle injury. The prior listings of them as definite non‑participants should be reconsidered.

Isak’s recent goal streak positions him as Liverpool’s primary personal danger right now. Arsenal’s defensive structure stands out as the key advantage for the under. The official squads have yet to be announced, therefore any suggested lineup cannot be considered definitive.

Match information

• Competition: Premier League
• Venue: Anfield, Liverpool
• Date: Sunday, 1 November 2026
• Kick‑off: 16:30
• Referee: Andrew Madley

Insights on the Liverpool‑Arsenal showdown

How will Liverpool match up against Arsenal?

Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95, we are moderately confident and have no quantified edge.

Why not back Arsenal to win?

Although they head the odds, the model assigns a 41.8 % chance of victory, which falls short of the 42.92 % threshold required for 2.33 odds, indicating minimal value.

Seeking a more compelling player proposition?

No player market currently shows a clear advantage based on the available evidence.

Factors that might alter the selection?

A markedly reduced cost, surprising offensive formations, or recent conditioning news could justify a revised evaluation.