Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Liverpool against Brighton: 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Anfield (Liverpool), referee S. Barrott. Liverpool (46%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Wins: Liverpool win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Liverpool lose.
Liverpool vs Brighton: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Liverpool are 4th with 18 points from 10 matches (5W 3D 2L); Brighton are 2nd with 22 points (7W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Liverpool average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match in the competition; Brighton score 3.3 and concede 0.7.
- Form in the competition. Liverpool: 3W 3D 1L, goals 9–8; Brighton: 5W 1D 1L, goals 23–5.
- Head to head. Of their 24 meetings, Liverpool have 15 wins and Brighton 5 wins, with 4 draws; goals 52–28.
What to expect
We expect Liverpool to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (10.5%). We expect an open match with goals.
Interestingly, the table points towards the Brighton, while the market gives slightly better chances to the home side. That makes the match hard to read, so more cautious bets make sense.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we rate at 64%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 64% and of over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; Liverpool 15 wins, 4 draws, Brighton 5 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 3.3 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Liverpool 9–8, Brighton 23–5.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61%.
- Absences: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best odds 1.57). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Liverpool will be without: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton are missing: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Brighton: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.15 | 4.04 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.86 | 3.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.6%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 4th (18 points), Brighton 2nd (22 points).
- Form in the competition: Liverpool 3W 3D 1L (9:8), Brighton 5W 1D 1L (23:5).
- H2H: 24 matches: Liverpool 15W 4D 5L, goals 52–28.
- Absences: Liverpool 7, Brighton 8.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Liverpool vs Brighton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Liverpool vs Brighton: absences and injuries
Liverpool
- C. Bradleyknee injury · will miss the match
- H. EkitikeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Frimpongmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Leoniknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Nalloabsence · will miss the match
- D. Szoboszlaimuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Munozknee injury · doubtful
Brighton
- F. Azeezabsence · will miss the match
- E. Fergusonankle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Mintehinjury · will miss the match
- K. Mitomahamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Tzimasknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Wiefferknee injury · will miss the match
- Z. Yohannainjury · will miss the match
- P. Struijkabsence · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Brighton: last matches of both teams
Liverpool
Brighton
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
LiverpoolWLWWLBrightonWWLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool +0 (Asian handicap) (1.64); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Liverpool win 46%, draw 25%, Brighton win 29%.
When and where is the match played?
25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue: Anfield, Liverpool. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo, D. Szoboszlai, V. Munoz. Brighton: F. Azeez, E. Ferguson, Y. Minteh, K. Mitoma, S. Tzimas, M. Wieffer, Z. Yohanna, P. Struijk. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57) and of under 2.5 goals 39% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 64% (odds 1.50).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.5%), followed by 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.5%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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