Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Brighton v Crystal Palace kicks off on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Amex Stadium (Brighton), refereed by R. Jones. In our view the favourites are Brighton (66%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Brighton are 2nd with 22 points from 10 matches (7W 1D 2L); Crystal Palace are 20th with 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
What to expect
We expect Brighton to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 2–0 (10.4%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we rate at 61%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 55% and of over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61%.
- Absences: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best odds 1.65). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Brighton will be without: no absences. Crystal Palace are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.51 | 4.93 | 7.07 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 4.77 | 6.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.39 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.36 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.1%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Brighton 2–0 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Brighton 2nd (22 points), Crystal Palace 20th (7 points).
- Absences: Brighton 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: absences and injuries
Brighton
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Brighton
Home and away
Brighton vs Crystal Palace: last matches of both teams
Brighton
Crystal Palace
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Questions and answers
What is the tip for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace +1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Brighton win 66%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace win 14%.
When and where is the match played?
18 October 2026 at 14:00, venue: Amex Stadium, Brighton. Referee: R. Jones.
Who will be missing?
Brighton: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57) and of under 2.5 goals 39% (odds 2.51).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 55% (odds 1.70).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–0 (10.4%), followed by 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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