Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Crystal Palace against Newcastle: 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Selhurst Park (London), referee P. Tierney. We expect a close match. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Wins: Newcastle win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Newcastle lose.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Crystal Palace are 20th with 7 points from 10 matches (2W 1D 7L); Newcastle are 12th with 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Crystal Palace average 1.3 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match in the competition; Newcastle score 1.4 and concede 2.0.
- Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 2W 1D 4L, goals 9–17; Newcastle: 2W 2D 3L, goals 10–14.
- Head to head. Of their 27 meetings, Crystal Palace have 6 wins and Newcastle 12 wins, with 9 draws; goals 22–36.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 2–2, so roughly 4 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect an open match with goals.
Interestingly, the table points towards the Newcastle, while the market gives slightly better chances to the home side. That makes the match hard to read, so more cautious bets make sense.
Our goals tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we rate at 62%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 62% and of over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 27; Crystal Palace 6 wins, 9 draws, Newcastle 12 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.1 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Crystal Palace 9–17, Newcastle 10–14.
- We expect roughly 4 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58%.
- Absences: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Alternative tip: Crystal Palace or draw (1X)
Alternative: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best odds 1.53). We expect roughly 4 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Crystal Palace will be without: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle are missing: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.53 | 2.62 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.51 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.8%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Crystal Palace 20th (7 points), Newcastle 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 2W 1D 4L (9:17), Newcastle 2W 2D 3L (10:14).
- H2H: 27 matches: Crystal Palace 6W 9D 12L, goals 22–36.
- Absences: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: absences and injuries
Crystal Palace
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- D. Hendersonfoot injury · doubtful
- J. Larseninjury · doubtful
- Q. Timberinjury · doubtful
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Elangaknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ramseythigh injury · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace
Home and away
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: last matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Crystal PalaceLLLLWNewcastleDLWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Newcastle +0 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Crystal Palace win 37%, draw 27%, Newcastle win 36%.
When and where is the match played?
25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue: Selhurst Park, London. Referee: P. Tierney.
Who will be missing?
Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70) and of under 2.5 goals 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 62% (odds 1.55).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.2%), followed by 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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