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Fulham vs Newcastle prediction
Fulmar vs Newcastle United Prediction: Fulmar to Win
Our preferred Fulmar vs Newcastle United bet is a Fulmar win at 2.10. Two bottom‑half teams meet at Craven Cottage on Saturday, but their trajectories could hardly be more different: Fulmar are unbeaten in three, while Newcastle have lost four of their last five.
Alvaro Arbeloa's side have quietly become one of the division's hardest teams to break down – only three goals conceded across their last six league games, and no club in the bottom eight has a better defensive record. Back‑to‑back 1‑0 wins over Hull City and Coventry City preceded last weekend's draw with Aston Villa.
Newcastle, meanwhile, were booed off after Monday's flat 1‑0 home defeat to Everton – their second loss to the Toffees in five days – and travel without the suspended Jacob Ramsey and the injured Joelinton, stripping the midfield of its engine room.
The head‑to‑head seals it: Fulmar have won three of the last four league meetings with the Magpies, including a 2‑0 victory in this exact fixture in May. At 2.10, the home win is the value play.
Key facts
- Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fulham 15th (10 points), Newcastle 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 3D 4L (9:11), Newcastle 3W 2D 4L (12:15).
- H2H: 25 matches: Fulham 9W 4D 12L, goals 26–33.
- Absences: Fulham 0, Newcastle 0.
Fulmar vs Newcastle United: Date, Kick‑Off Time
Fulmar host Newcastle United on Saturday, 7 November 2026, in the tenth round of the Premier League. Kick‑off at Craven Cottage in London is 15:00 local time (GMT).
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Fulmar vs Newcastle United Betting Odds and Best Markets
Fulmar are priced around 2.10 for the home win, the draw trades near 3.75 and Newcastle are out at roughly 3.70. The market finally rates the Cottagers' home resilience – and we agree with it.
Given Fulmar's recent matches have been tight, low‑scoring affairs, Under 2.5 goals is the natural companion bet, while the draw‑no‑bet option offers insurance on the home side. Our main call, though, is the straight Fulmar win at 2.10.
Fulham vs Newcastle: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.09 | 3.90 | 3.79 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.67 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.39 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.69 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.7% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 7/11/26, 13:18. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.5%.
Fulham vs Newcastle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
In What Form Are Fulmar and Newcastle United Coming Into the Match?
Fulmar opened the season with six winless games but have lost only one of their last six (two wins, three draws). Arbeloa's team are 15th, two points above the relegation zone, and visibly growing in belief – the players, in the coach's words, are beginning a long journey in the right direction.
Newcastle's bright start under Matthias Jaissle has unravelled: four defeats in five, including back‑to‑back losses to Everton in the league and the cup. The Magpies sit 13th, four points above the bottom three, with a brutal run of fixtures waiting after the international break.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Fulham
Home and away
Fulham vs Newcastle: last matches of both teams
Fulham
Newcastle
Fulmar vs Newcastle United: Key Pre‑Match Statistics
Fulmar have conceded only three goals in their last six league matches and 11 all season – the best defensive record among the bottom eight. Scoring remains the issue: nine league goals, the joint third‑fewest in the division.
Newcastle have lost four of their last five in all competitions and were beaten home and away by Everton inside a week. Their one bright spot: the last four away league wins have all come in London, including a 2‑0 success at Crystal Palace in their most recent road trip.
Head to head
All matchesFulmar vs Newcastle United H2H History
Fulmar have won three of the last four Premier League meetings with Newcastle, losing the other – a sharp reversal after an eight‑match winless run against the Magpies.
The most recent clash brought a 2‑0 Fulmar win at Craven Cottage in May. Notably, none of the 18 Premier League meetings between the sides in West London have ended in a draw: 11 Fulmar wins and seven for Newcastle.
Fulmar vs Newcastle United Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Fulmar report a clean bill of health, and Ryan Sessegnon is available again after a three‑game ban. Gonzalo Garcia is expected to keep his place up front despite an eight‑game scoreless run, with Rodrigo Muniz pushing from the bench.
Newcastle are without the suspended Jacob Ramsey and the injured Joelinton; Tino Livramento and Ewen Jaouen remain out, while Lewis Miley and Mathias Fernandez‑Pardo are doubtful. Joe Willock or teenager Sean Steur could step into midfield. Final line‑ups are confirmed an hour before kick‑off.
Fulham vs Newcastle: absences and injuries
Fulham
- No reported absences
Newcastle
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
FulhamDDWWLNewcastleDLWLLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Fulmar vs Newcastle United?
Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick‑off at 15:00 GMT at Craven Cottage, London.
What is our Fulmar vs Newcastle prediction?
We back Fulmar to win at 2.10 – unbeaten in three, three wins in the last four meetings, and Newcastle missing Ramsey and Joelinton.
What is the tip for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham win (2.10)
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Fulham win 47%, draw 26%, Newcastle win 27%.
When and where is the match played?
7 November 2026 at 15:00, venue: Craven Cottage, London. Referee: Robert Jones.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.73) and of under 2.5 goals 43% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 59% (odds 1.62).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.1%), followed by 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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