Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aston Villa against Fulham: 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Villa Park (Birmingham), referee S. Barrott. Aston Villa (47%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Wins: Fulham win, a draw. Loses: Fulham lose.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Aston Villa are 10th with 13 points from 10 matches (3W 4D 3L); Fulham are 15th with 10 points (2W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Aston Villa average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match in the competition; Fulham score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
- Form in the competition. Aston Villa: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–12; Fulham: 2W 2D 4L, goals 8–10.
- Head to head. Of their 26 meetings, Aston Villa have 12 wins and Fulham 9 wins, with 5 draws; goals 33–28.
What to expect
We expect Aston Villa to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we rate at 57%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 57% and of over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 26; Aston Villa 12 wins, 5 draws, Fulham 9 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.3 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Aston Villa 9–12, Fulham 8–10.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54%.
- Absences: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, best odds 1.86). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Aston Villa will be without: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham are missing: R. Sessegnon. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.57 | 3.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.06 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.93 | 32.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 31/10/26, 17:22. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.5%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Aston Villa 1–1 Fulham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aston Villa 10th (13 points), Fulham 15th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Aston Villa 3W 2D 3L (9:12), Fulham 2W 2D 4L (8:10).
- H2H: 26 matches: Aston Villa 12W 5D 9L, goals 33–28.
- Absences: Aston Villa 3, Fulham 1.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Aston Villa vs Fulham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Aston Villa vs Fulham: absences and injuries
Aston Villa
- A. Onanaknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Ruggerimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Wan-Bissakamuscle injury · will miss the match
Fulham
- R. Sessegnonred card · will miss the match
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Aston Villa
Home and away
Aston Villa vs Fulham: last matches of both teams
Aston Villa
Fulham
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Aston VillaDDWWDFulhamDDWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Fulham +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Aston Villa win 47%, draw 27%, Fulham win 27%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 20:00, venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Aston Villa: A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, A. Wan-Bissaka. Fulham: R. Sessegnon. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.86) and of under 2.5 goals 46% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 57% (odds 1.67).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.7%), followed by 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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