Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Brentford against Liverpool: 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Brentford Community Stadium (London), referee J. Brooks. We expect a close match. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Brentford vs Liverpool: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Brentford are 8th with 14 points from 10 matches (3W 5D 2L); Liverpool are 4th with 18 points (5W 3D 2L).
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 2–2, so roughly 4 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we rate at 63%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 63% and of over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 4 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 60%.
- Absences: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Liverpool (X2)
Alternative: Draw or Liverpool (X2) (probability 65%, best odds 1.57). We expect roughly 4 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Brentford will be without: no absences. Liverpool are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Brentford vs Liverpool: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.81 | 3.76 | 2.56 |
| Market average | 2.69 | 3.65 | 2.46 |
| Lowest odds | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.56 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.38 | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.35 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.64 | 2.54 | 36.7% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 13:52. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.3%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Brentford 1–1 Liverpool, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Brentford 8th (14 points), Liverpool 4th (18 points).
- Absences: Brentford 0, Liverpool 0.
Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Brentford vs Liverpool: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Brentford vs Liverpool: absences and injuries
Brentford
- No reported absences
Liverpool
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Brentford
Home and away
Brentford vs Liverpool: last matches of both teams
Brentford
Liverpool
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Questions and answers
What is the tip for Brentford vs Liverpool?
Draw or Liverpool (X2) (1.57); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Brentford vs Liverpool?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Brentford win 35%, draw 26%, Liverpool win 39%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Brentford Community Stadium, London. Referee: J. Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Brentford: no absences. Liverpool: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.58) and of under 2.5 goals 40% (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 63% (odds 1.50).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.8%), followed by 1–2 (8.6%) and 2–1 (8.1%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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