Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal kicks off on 18 October 2026 · 16:30 at City Ground (Nottingham), refereed by M. Oliver. In our view the favourites are Arsenal (58%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Wins: Nottingham Forest win, a draw, Nottingham Forest lose by 1. Loses: Nottingham Forest lose by 2 or more.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Nottingham Forest are 16th with 9 points from 10 matches (2W 3D 5L); Arsenal are 1st with 27 points (9W 0D 1L).
What to expect
We expect Arsenal to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 0–1 (12.1%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), which we rate at 52%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 51% and of over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 52%.
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes
Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 51%, best odds 1.86). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Nottingham Forest will be without: no absences. Arsenal are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 5.96 | 4.00 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 5.61 | 3.89 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 48.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.2% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 18/10/26, 13:08. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.0%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 16th (9 points), Arsenal 1st (27 points).
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: absences and injuries
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest
Home and away
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: last matches of both teams
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
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Questions and answers
What is the tip for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.56); Over 2.5 goals (1.90).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Nottingham Forest win 17%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 58%.
When and where is the match played?
18 October 2026 at 16:30, venue: City Ground, Nottingham. Referee: M. Oliver.
Who will be missing?
Nottingham Forest: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.90) and of under 2.5 goals 48% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 51% (odds 1.86).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 0–1 (12.1%), followed by 0–2 (10.9%) and 1–1 (10.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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