Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: Nottingham Forest to Win on Corners @ 2.00
Nottingham Forest to win the corner count against Ipswich Town looks like an interesting betting opportunity in Friday night's Premier League encounter. Despite Forest's disappointing start to the season, the underlying attacking statistics suggest that the visitors could have an advantage in the corners market, especially considering the difference between the teams' average corner production.
Nottingham Forest enter Round 8 of the Premier League in a difficult position. The team currently sits 19th in the standings, having collected just one victory from its opening seven league matches. Three consecutive defeats have increased the pressure on the visitors, who desperately need a positive result to improve their position and regain confidence.
However, poor league results do not necessarily translate into poor performances in individual statistical markets, particularly corners. A team can struggle to convert its chances, concede goals or lose matches while still producing significant attacking pressure and winning the corner count.
This is exactly why Nottingham Forest deserve attention in this matchup.
Nottingham Forest Have the Better Corner Statistics
One of the strongest arguments supporting this prediction is the difference in the teams' average corners per match.
Nottingham Forest generate approximately 4.7 corners per Premier League game, compared to just 3.3 for Ipswich Town. That represents an advantage of 1.4 corners per match, with Forest producing roughly 42% more corners than their opponents.
Over seven matches, these averages would correspond to roughly 33 corners for Nottingham Forest and 23 for Ipswich, a difference of around ten corners. While these are rounded estimates based on the supplied averages rather than independently verified totals, they illustrate the gap in attacking corner production.
Forest have also demonstrated their ability to outperform opponents in this market in recent fixtures, winning the corner count against Crystal Palace and Coventry. These performances suggest that the team can maintain attacking pressure even when its overall results are disappointing.
Ipswich, meanwhile, average only 3.3 corners per match, indicating a relatively modest level of corner production. Unless the hosts significantly improve their attacking output, they could find it difficult to match Forest's usual numbers.
Of course, corner averages alone do not guarantee a winning selection. The number of corners a team concedes is also important, as is the distribution of corners across individual matches. Nevertheless, Forest's higher attacking average provides a reasonable starting point for this prediction.
Nottingham Forest's Attacking Quality Remains a Positive Factor
Another reason to consider Nottingham Forest is that their main attacking players are available for selection, according to the current team information.
Despite their struggles in the league standings, Forest still possess the individual quality needed to create chances, deliver crosses and put opposition defenders under pressure.
This is particularly important for the corners market. Teams do not necessarily need to score goals to generate corners. Blocked shots, deflected crosses, defensive clearances and sustained attacking possession can all contribute to a higher corner count.
If Forest manage to establish an attacking rhythm, they should have opportunities to create dangerous situations around the Ipswich penalty area.
Their recent results may actually encourage a more aggressive approach. With just one league victory and three consecutive defeats, another disappointing performance would only increase the pressure on the team.
A cautious, defensive strategy may therefore be less attractive to the visitors than attempting to take the initiative and create chances from the opening stages.
Match Scenario Could Work in Nottingham Forest's Favour
Several possible match scenarios could support Forest's corner production.
If Nottingham Forest take an early lead, they could gain confidence and continue exploiting Ipswich's defensive weaknesses. An advantage on the scoreboard would not necessarily prevent them from creating additional corners, particularly if Ipswich leave spaces while searching for an equaliser.
However, the scenario in which Forest fall behind could be even more favourable for their corner total.
If Ipswich score first, Nottingham Forest would likely be forced to increase their attacking intensity, commit more players forward and deliver additional balls into the opposition penalty area.
This type of game situation can create opportunities for corners, especially when the trailing team spends extended periods attacking against a compact defensive block.
There is a risk that Ipswich could generate corners of their own while counter‑attacking. Nevertheless, Forest's need for points and their stronger average corner production suggest that the visitors should have enough motivation to maintain attacking pressure throughout the match.
Ipswich's Lower Corner Average Is Another Important Factor
While Nottingham Forest's attacking statistics provide the main argument for this selection, Ipswich's relatively low corner average also deserves attention.
With just 3.3 corners per match, the hosts have not demonstrated the same level of consistent corner production as their opponents.
The difference becomes particularly relevant in a Corner 1X2 market, where the objective is not simply to predict how many corners Nottingham Forest will take, but whether they will finish with more than Ipswich.
For example, a match ending with five corners for Forest and three for Ipswich would be sufficient for our selection to win, regardless of the final score.
This distinction makes the corners market particularly interesting when evaluating teams with different attacking profiles.
Home advantage remains a factor. Ipswich may approach the fixture with greater attacking ambition in front of their supporters, while an early goal could significantly change the balance of possession and territorial pressure.
Are Odds of 2.00 Good Value?
The available odds of 2.00 imply a 50% break‑even probability for Nottingham Forest to win the corner count, before considering the bookmaker's margin.
Given Forest's average of 4.7 corners compared to Ipswich's 3.3, the selection looks appealing at first glance.
The visitors produce approximately 1.4 more corners per match, have already shown they can win the corner battle in recent fixtures and should be highly motivated to improve their disappointing league position.
However, the difference in averages does not automatically mean Forest have a greater than 50% chance of winning this market. A reliable probability estimate would also require data on corners conceded, home and away performances, recent corner results and the frequency of drawn corner counts.
The main risk is that Nottingham Forest's poor form could affect their confidence and attacking efficiency. Ipswich's home advantage is another consideration, particularly if the hosts start aggressively and force Forest to defend for long periods.
Still, the combination of stronger corner production and the visitors' need for a positive result makes this a reasonable selection to consider at even‑money odds.
Final Prediction: Nottingham Forest to Win on Corners
Nottingham Forest may not be enjoying their best Premier League campaign, but their corner statistics paint a more encouraging picture than their league position suggests.
The visitors average 4.7 corners per match compared to Ipswich's 3.3, giving them a meaningful advantage in attacking corner production. Their recent corner performances against Crystal Palace and Coventry also provide additional support for the selection.
With Forest desperate to end their three‑match losing streak, I expect them to approach this fixture with attacking intent. Whether they take the lead or find themselves chasing the game, there are reasonable arguments for expecting sustained pressure from the visitors.
Our prediction: Nottingham Forest to win the corner count against Ipswich Town @ 2.00.
There are risks associated with Ipswich's home advantage and Forest's inconsistent form, but the statistical difference makes this an attractive potential value bet in the Corner 1X2 market.
Key facts
- Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Nottingham Forest 16th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 0D 4L (11:15), Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 4L (5:9).
- H2H: 20 matches: Ipswich 4W 7D 9L, goals 23–32.
- Absences: Ipswich 2, Nottingham Forest 2.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: Date, Kick‑Off Time and Venue
Ipswich Town will welcome Nottingham Forest to Portman Road on Friday, 23 October 2026. Kick‑off is scheduled for 20:00. Both clubs are looking to collect important points after difficult results in their previous league matches.
Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.29 | 3.58 | 2.36 |
| Market average | 3.15 | 3.47 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.09 | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.79 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.4%.
In What Form Are Ipswich and Nottingham Forest Coming Into the Match?
Ipswich Town approach the Premier League fixture with mixed results but several encouraging attacking performances. Their recent five‑match run is D‑D‑L‑W‑L, reflecting a win, two draws and two defeats.
In their most recent match, Ipswich suffered a narrow 3‑2 defeat against Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium. Despite facing one of the strongest teams in the league, Ipswich managed to score twice and remained competitive for significant periods of the contest.
Before that defeat, Ipswich secured a valuable 2‑1 home victory against Fulham. It was their second home league win of the campaign, having previously beaten Sunderland by the same scoreline. Their record of two victories from three home matches suggests Portman Road could become an important source of points.
Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, enter the match in considerably worse form. The visitors have collected just six points from their opening nine Premier League fixtures, recording one victory, three draws and five defeats.
Forest have lost three consecutive league matches, most recently suffering a 1‑0 home defeat against Arsenal. Despite holding the defending champions scoreless for 80 minutes, Forest eventually conceded and failed to find an equaliser.
Their previous defeats came against Crystal Palace (3‑1) and Coventry City (1‑0), highlighting a worrying lack of consistency in both attack and defence.
However, Forest's away attacking record offers a more positive perspective. The team have scored in 13 consecutive away Premier League matches, suggesting that their offensive performances on the road have been considerably more reliable than their recent results at home.
This distinction is particularly important for our corners prediction. Nottingham Forest may be struggling to convert attacking opportunities into victories, but their ability to generate pressure away from home could help them compete in the corner count.
With three consecutive defeats increasing the pressure on the visitors, Forest should have plenty of motivation to take the initiative and create chances against Ipswich.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Ipswich
Home and away
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: last matches of both teams
Ipswich
Nottingham Forest
Key Pre‑Match Statistics
The statistical comparison between Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest reveals two teams with very different strengths and weaknesses.
Ipswich have been involved in relatively open, high‑scoring matches throughout the opening weeks of the Premier League season. Their fixtures have averaged 3.71 total goals, one of the highest figures in the competition.
However, their defensive record remains a significant concern. Ipswich have conceded in 26 consecutive Premier League matches and are still searching for their first clean sheet of the 2026/27 campaign.
This defensive vulnerability could provide Nottingham Forest with opportunities to create sustained attacking pressure, particularly if the visitors manage to exploit space on the wings.
Forest's matches, by comparison, have averaged just 2.00 total goals, the lowest figure in the Premier League heading into Round 8. The visitors have struggled to convert chances into goals, failing to score in four league matches.
Nevertheless, Forest's corner production tells a more encouraging story. According to the supplied statistics, the visitors average 4.7 corners per match, compared to Ipswich's 3.3.
That represents approximately 42% more corners per game for Nottingham Forest, a meaningful difference when evaluating the Corner 1X2 market.
Forest's impressive run of scoring in 13 consecutive away Premier League fixtures also suggests that their attacking threat should not be underestimated, despite their disappointing position in the standings.
Another interesting statistic is Ipswich's home record. The hosts have won two of their three home league matches this season, which could make them more confident and willing to attack than their overall results might suggest.
For our prediction, the most important factor remains the difference in corner production. Forest's higher average suggests they may have an advantage in generating the wide attacking situations that frequently result in corners.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Head‑to‑Head History
Nottingham Forest have enjoyed recent success against Ipswich Town in Premier League meetings, winning each of the last four encounters between the clubs.
The most recent league meeting took place in March 2025, when Nottingham Forest secured a 4‑2 away victory at Portman Road. Earlier in the same season, Forest also defeated Ipswich 1‑0 at the City Ground, completing a Premier League double over their opponents.
These results suggest that Forest have generally been comfortable facing Ipswich in recent years, although historical head‑to‑head records should not be treated as a direct predictor of Friday's result.
The current teams have undergone changes in personnel and tactical approach, making recent form and underlying performance statistics more relevant.
Nevertheless, Forest's previous success at Portman Road could provide an additional confidence boost as they attempt to end their three‑match losing streak.
For the corners market, head‑to‑head match results provide useful context but limited direct evidence. Historical corner counts would be more relevant than final scores when evaluating our Nottingham Forest Corner 1X2 selection.
Head to head
All matchesTeam News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Ipswich Town approach the Premier League fixture with a relatively healthy squad, although there are some selection concerns ahead of the Nottingham Forest encounter.
Saša Lukić remains a doubt after missing the recent defeat against Manchester City with a minor groin problem. Jordon Taylor is also unavailable due to a knee injury.
One of the key players to watch for the hosts is Leif Davis. The attacking left‑back has already contributed two goals and one assist this season, demonstrating his ability to influence matches from wide positions.
His overlapping runs and deliveries into the penalty area could become particularly important for Ipswich's corner production, especially if the hosts attempt to exploit the space behind Nottingham Forest's wing‑backs.
Daizen Maeda is another player capable of creating problems with his pace and movement. The Japanese international scored against Manchester City and could be a dangerous outlet during counter‑attacks.
Nottingham Forest have more significant injury concerns, particularly in attacking areas.
Igor Jesus and Nicolò Savona are expected to miss the fixture through injury, while Morgan Gibbs‑White remains a fitness doubt. If Gibbs‑White is available, his creativity could be especially important for Forest's attacking output.
Dan Ndoye is another important attacking option. The winger has scored twice from 15 shots and offers the pace and direct running that could help Forest generate opportunities from wide positions.
Liam Delap is expected to lead the attack, with his physical presence and movement potentially creating space for Forest's attacking midfielders.
From the perspective of our corners prediction, the availability of Gibbs‑White could be particularly significant. His ability to deliver passes into dangerous areas and create chances would provide additional support for Forest's attacking output.
Forest's wing‑backs could also play an important role. If the visitors establish territorial control, their wide players may be able to deliver crosses and force Ipswich defenders into clearances behind their own goal.
Ultimately, Nottingham Forest's attacking personnel and stronger average corner production remain the main arguments supporting our selection.
The final starting line‑ups and injury updates should be checked before kick‑off, as the absence of important creative players could materially affect Forest's ability to generate corners.
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest: absences and injuries
Ipswich
- S. Lukicgroin injury · will miss the match
- J. Taylorknee injury · will miss the match
Nottingham Forest
- Igor Jesuscalf injury · will miss the match
- N. Savonaknee injury · will miss the match
The list may change before kick-off.
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest to win corner count (2.00)
Who will win Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Ipswich win 30%, draw 28%, Nottingham Forest win 42%.
When and where is the match played?
23 October 2026 at 20:00, venue: Portman Road, Ipswich. Referee: T. Bramall.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.83) and of under 2.5 goals 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 59% (odds 1.62).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.7%), followed by 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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