Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction: Erling Haaland to Score Anytime
Our preferred Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City bet is Erling Haaland to score anytime at 1.75. Saturday evening at the City Ground brings together the league's most toothless home attack and the division's top scorer – the angles all point to the Norwegian finding the net.
Forest are 19th, winless and goalless in five home league games this season, and have scored only six times in nine matches – the joint‑lowest tally in the division. Oliver Glasner's side have managed just one point from their last five games and lost their last two at home 1‑0, to Coventry and Arsenal.
Haaland arrives wearing the captain's armband and fresh from deciding Wednesday's Champions League tie at RB Leipzig, sliding home the 78th‑minute winner in a 3‑2 victory. The Premier League's leading marksman leads the line again at the City Ground.
The caution is the price: 1.75 is short for an anytime scorer, and City have wobbled with back‑to‑back league defeats. But against a defence that has kept Forest's own forwards scoreless all season at home, the league's most reliable finisher at under evens is our play.
Key facts
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Manchester City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 16th (9 points), Manchester City 3rd (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Nottingham Forest 1W 3D 5L (6:12), Manchester City 7W 0D 2L (20:10).
- H2H: 10 matches: Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 6L, goals 8–21.
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Manchester City 0.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Date, Kick‑Off Time and Where to Watch
Nottingham Forest host Manchester City on Saturday, 7 November 2026, in the tenth round of the Premier League. Kick‑off at the City Ground is 17:30 local time (GMT).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Betting Odds and Best Markets
Manchester City are clear favourites at around 1.72, with Forest out beyond 5.00 and the draw near 4.20. City have lost their last two league games, though, which makes the straight away win less comfortable than the price suggests.
That pushes us toward the scorer market: Haaland anytime at 1.75 against the division's leakiest home record. For those seeking bigger prices, Haaland to score first or Haaland two or more goals both merit a look against a side conceding soft goals at home.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 5.25 | 4.36 | 1.72 |
| Market average | 4.91 | 4.10 | 1.68 |
| Lowest odds | 4.34 | 3.82 | 1.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.28 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.57 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.18 | 42.6% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 7/11/26, 17:16. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.5%.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
In What Form Are Nottingham Forest and Manchester City Coming Into the Match?
Forest have won only one of their nine league games (three draws, five defeats) and taken one point from the last 15 available. Last weekend's 2‑0 defeat at Brentford prompted a furious post‑match reaction from Glasner, and scoring is the crisis: six league goals, with blanks in five of nine despite the division's second‑highest shot count.
City have lost back‑to‑back Premier League games against Aston Villa and Brighton – the latter a 1‑0 home defeat despite 21 shots – and surrendered top spot to Arsenal. Wednesday's 3‑2 Champions League win at Leipzig steadied the ship, with Haaland's late winner the decisive moment.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest
Home and away
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: last matches of both teams
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Key Pre‑Match Statistics
Forest are winless and goalless in five home league fixtures – an unprecedented drought at the City Ground – and their six goals make them the joint‑lowest scorers in the division. They have also failed to score more than once in any home game all season.
City's games remain chance‑heavy: 21 shots and 1.92 expected goals even in last weekend's 1‑0 defeat. Haaland leads the league's scoring charts and took his personal tally against Leipzig to 13 goals in nine career meetings with the German club on Wednesday.
Head to head
All matchesNottingham Forest vs Manchester City H2H History
The last meeting finished 2‑2 at the Etihad in March, Elliot Anderson scoring Forest's late equaliser before his big‑money summer move to City. City won 2‑1 on their most recent visit to the City Ground in December.
Since Forest's return to the top flight in 2022, City have won two of their four league visits (one draw, one defeat) – though Forest did claim a famous 1‑0 home win two seasons ago through Callum Hudson‑Odoi.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side. Forest will rely on Chris Wood up front, while James McAtee is expected to continue in a deeper midfield role against his former club.
City could recall captain Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol in defence, while Enzo Fernandez is likely to partner Anderson in midfield. Haaland leads the attack, supported by Iliman Ndiaye, Rayan Cherki and Jeremy Doku. Final line‑ups are confirmed an hour before kick‑off.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: absences and injuries
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Manchester City
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Nottingham ForestWLDLLManchester CityLLLWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick‑off at 17:30 GMT at the City Ground, Nottingham.
What is our Forest vs Man City prediction?
We back Erling Haaland to score anytime at 1.75 – the league's top scorer against a Forest side winless and goalless in five home games.
What is the team news?
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side.
What is the tip for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
Erling Haaland to score anytime (1.75)
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Nottingham Forest win 20%, draw 23%, Manchester City win 57%.
When and where is the match played?
7 November 2026 at 17:30, venue: City Ground, Nottingham. Referee: Samuel Barrott.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70) and of under 2.5 goals 42% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 57% (odds 1.65).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.2%), followed by 1–2 (9.9%) and 0–1 (9.7%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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