Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Everton vs Coventry City Prediction: Over 4.5 Cards
Our preferred Everton vs Coventry City bet is Over 4.5 cards at 1.95. Friday night football at the Hill Dickinson Stadium pairs the third‑strictest referee in the Premier League with two sides whose games are built on duels, and the bookings line looks a notch too low for this officiating profile.
Stuart Attwell takes charge, and his numbers are the backbone of the pick: 4.87 yellow cards per game across his 30 matches in 2025/26 and 2026/27, the third‑highest rate among Premier League referees in that span. When Attwell is in the middle, matches average over 22 fouls and players on both sides regularly find their way into the book.
The teams themselves supply the contact. Coventry commit 12.0 fouls per match while Everton win 11.8 – the Toffees draw pressure and the Sky Blues chase it. Frank Lampard's side arrive 16th in the table and scrap for everything on their travels, while Everton's set‑piece and transition threat under David Moyes invites tactical fouls in dangerous areas.
The honest caution is that Everton are not an overly aggressive side themselves at 9.25 fouls per game, so the over leans on the referee's line rather than a grudge match. With both teams winning close to 12 free‑kicks a game and a referee averaging nearly five bookings, Over 4.5 cards at 1.95 is our play.
Key facts
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Coventry, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Everton 6th (16 points), Coventry 17th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Everton 3W 4D 2L (9:9), Coventry 3W 0D 6L (9:16).
- H2H: 2 matches: Everton 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–4.
- Absences: Everton 2, Coventry 5.
Everton vs Coventry City: Date and Kick‑Off Time
Everton host Coventry City on Friday, 6 November 2026, in the tenth round of the Premier League. Kick‑off at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool is 20:00 local time (GMT), and the fixture doubles as Everton's annual Remembrance match.
Who will win Everton vs Coventry?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Everton vs Coventry City Betting Odds and Best Markets
Everton are firm home favourites at around 1.70, the draw trades near 4.10 and Coventry are out at roughly 5.00. Those prices reflect the table – seventh against sixteenth – but Coventry's run of three wins in five keeps the visitors dangerous.
Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score both appeal given Coventry's open style, while Thierno Barry, with eight goals in 12 appearances, is the standout name in the anytime scorer market. Our angle, though, is discipline: Over 4.5 cards at 1.95 with one of the league's most card‑happy referees in charge.
Everton vs Coventry: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.70 | 4.32 | 5.41 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 4.04 | 5.09 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 77.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.75 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.84 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.72 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 46.0% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 6/11/26, 18:00. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.9%.
Everton vs Coventry: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
In What Form Are Everton and Coventry City Coming Into the Match?
Everton have beaten Newcastle United twice in the space of a week – a 1‑0 league win at St James' Park on Monday after an EFL Cup success over the same opponent – and sit seventh in the table, only two points behind fifth‑placed Liverpool. Their nine league games have produced three wins, four draws and two defeats.
Coventry lost their opening four Premier League matches but have since beaten Nottingham Forest, Newcastle United and Sunderland, the last of those a 3‑1 victory. Lampard's side sit 16th on nine points, only three behind eighth‑placed Bournemouth, and travel to Merseyside with genuine momentum.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Everton
Home and away
Everton vs Coventry: last matches of both teams
Everton
Coventry
Everton vs Coventry City: Key Pre‑Match Statistics
The disciplinary profile drives this pick. Attwell averages 4.87 yellow cards per game across the past two seasons, well above the Premier League average of 4.19 cards per match. Coventry commit 12.0 fouls per game and win 11.8, while Everton win 11.8 fouls per game themselves – free‑kicks in dangerous areas should be frequent on both sides.
Everton's nine league games have been tight, with the Toffees conceding few chances at home, while Coventry's nine matches have produced 25 goals (9 scored, 16 conceded). Barry leads the Everton line with eight goals; Jack Rudoni is Coventry's top scorer on four.
Head to head
All matchesEverton vs Coventry City H2H History
This is a fixture with real history: the clubs meet in the league for the first time since 2001. Everton lead the overall head‑to‑head 37 wins to Coventry's 23, but the Sky Blues have lost only three of their 18 Premier League meetings with the Toffees.
Coventry have actually won two of the last three meetings, including a 2‑1 success at Goodison Park in December 2000. Everton's only home league win over Coventry came back in April 1999 (2‑0), so the hosts hold no psychological edge here.
Everton vs Coventry City Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Everton are without T. George (injury) and Jack Grealish (coach's decision). David Moyes is expected to keep an unchanged XI, with Barry leading the line and Kiernan Dewsbury‑Hall as the number 10.
Coventry miss Aurele Amenda (calf), Haji Wright (muscle), Josh Eccles (ankle), Bobby Thomas (calf) and Luke Woolfenden (knee). Jack Rudoni plays behind Taiwo Awoniyi in attack. Final line‑ups are confirmed an hour before kick‑off and are worth checking before placing any wagers.
Everton vs Coventry: absences and injuries
Everton
- T. Georgeinjury · doubtful
- J. Grealishabsence · doubtful
Coventry
- A. Amendacalf injury · will miss the match
- H. Wrightmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Ecclesankle injury · doubtful
- B. Thomascalf injury · doubtful
- L. Woolfendenknee injury · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
EvertonWWLLDCoventryLWLLWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Everton vs Coventry City?
The match takes place on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick‑off at 20:00 GMT at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.
What is our Everton vs Coventry City prediction?
We back Over 4.5 cards at 1.95, with Stuart Attwell – the Premier League's third‑strictest referee at 4.87 yellow cards per game – in charge.
Who are the key absentees?
Everton miss T. George and Jack Grealish; Coventry are missing Aurele Amenda, Haji Wright, Josh Eccles, Bobby Thomas and Luke Woolfenden.
What is the tip for Everton vs Coventry?
Total cards over 4.5 (1.95)
Who will win Everton vs Coventry?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Everton win 58%, draw 24%, Coventry win 19%.
When and where is the match played?
6 November 2026 at 20:00, venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: Stuart Attwell.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.80) and of under 2.5 goals 46% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 54% (odds 1.78).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.7%), followed by 1–0 (10.7%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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