Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Coventry host Sunderland on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry), with S. Hooper as referee. We see the match as evenly balanced. Below you will find our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and match analysis.
Wins: Coventry win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Coventry lose.
Coventry vs Sunderland: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Coventry are 17th with 9 points from 10 matches (3W 0D 7L); Sunderland are 19th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Coventry average 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match in the competition; Sunderland score 0.8 and concede 1.8.
- Form in the competition. Coventry: 2W 0D 6L, goals 6–15; Sunderland: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14.
- Head to head. Of their 13 meetings, Coventry have 6 wins and Sunderland 1 win, with 6 draws; goals 24–14.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–1, so roughly 2 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.7%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 54% and of over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 13; Coventry 6 wins, 6 draws, Sunderland 1 win.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.9 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Coventry 6–15, Sunderland 6–14.
- We expect roughly 2 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 48%.
- Absences: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, best odds 1.89). We expect roughly 2 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Coventry will be without: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland are missing: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Coventry vs Sunderland: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.23 | 3.42 | 2.41 |
| Market average | 3.09 | 3.29 | 2.34 |
| Lowest odds | 2.78 | 3.05 | 2.26 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.31 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.83 | 52.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.62 | 3.45 | 27.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.5% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 31/10/26, 09:22. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.6%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Coventry 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Coventry 17th (9 points), Sunderland 19th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Coventry 2W 0D 6L (6:15), Sunderland 1W 2D 5L (6:14).
- H2H: 13 matches: Coventry 6W 6D 1L, goals 24–14.
- Absences: Coventry 5, Sunderland 4.
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Coventry vs Sunderland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Coventry vs Sunderland: absences and injuries
Coventry
- A. Amendacalf injury · will miss the match
- J. Ecclesankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Woolfendenknee injury · will miss the match
- H. Wrightmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Thomascalf injury · doubtful
Sunderland
- D. Ballardmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Mundleknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mukieleabsence · doubtful
- J. Ta Biinjury · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3-4-3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2-5-3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2-4-4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1-5-4 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:24 | 7 |
Recent matches
Coventry
Home and away
Coventry vs Sunderland: last matches of both teams
Coventry
Sunderland
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
CoventryLWLLWSunderlandWLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Coventry vs Sunderland?
Coventry +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Coventry vs Sunderland?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Coventry win 31%, draw 29%, Sunderland win 40%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry. Referee: S. Hooper.
Who will be missing?
Coventry: A. Amenda, J. Eccles, L. Woolfenden, H. Wright, B. Thomas. Sunderland: D. Ballard, R. Mundle, N. Mukiele, J. Ta Bi. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.08) and of under 2.5 goals 52% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 54% (odds 1.80).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.7%), followed by 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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