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Premier League · Matchweek 12 · 28 November 2026 · 15:00

Leeds vs Coventry prediction, tip and odds – 28 November 2026, Premier League

WLDDL
VS
1Leeds1.62
XDraw4.42
2Coventry5.80

Best odds on the market · Updated 8/11/26, 12:52

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Our tip for Leeds vs Coventry (Premier League, 28 November 2026, 15:00): Leeds -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.78. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83. The bookmakers' odds give Leeds 60%, the draw 22% and Coventry 17%. The most likely score is 1–0.

Leeds vs Coventry: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Leeds -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.78
Chance 55% · confidence medium

Wins: Leeds win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Leeds win by 1. Loses: a draw, Leeds lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.83
Chance 53% · confidence medium
Combo
Leeds + over 2.5 goals
2.61
38% · fair odds of the combo
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Leeds or draw (1X), probability 83%, odds up to 1.17.
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Leeds vs Coventry: match analysis

Why we made this tip

  1. Table. Leeds are 9th with 14 points from 10 matches (3W 5D 2L); Coventry are 17th with 9 points (3W 0D 7L).

What to expect

We expect Leeds to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–0 (11.6%). We expect an open match with goals.

Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.83), which we rate at 53%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 51% and of over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Key points of the prediction

  1. We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 53%.
  2. Absences: Leeds 0, Coventry 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes

Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 51%, best odds 1.91). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.

Absences

Leeds will be without: no absences. Coventry are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.

Leeds vs Coventry: odds comparison

Match result1X2
Best odds on the market1.624.425.80
Market average1.584.245.57
Lowest odds1.534.005.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2376.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.8053.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.142.0746.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8732.8%
BTTS – yes1.911.8251.4%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.6%

The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 8/11/26, 12:52. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.1%.

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Key facts

  • Likely result: Leeds 1–0 Coventry, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Leeds 9th (14 points), Coventry 17th (9 points).
  • Absences: Leeds 0, Coventry 0.

Who will win Leeds vs Coventry?

Leeds60%
Draw22%
Coventry17%

The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.

Leeds vs Coventry: more betting tips

Leeds or draw (1X)82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.1% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Leeds to win60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.62
Likely
Over 2.5 goals53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams to score – yes51.4% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams to score – no48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.14
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw22.5% · fair odds 4.45 · best 4.42
Outsider
Coventry to win17.1% · fair odds 5.84 · best 5.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.

Correct score prediction

1 : 011.6%
2 : 011.0%
1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
3 : 07.0%
3 : 16.3%

Leeds vs Coventry: absences and injuries

Leeds

  • No reported absences

Coventry

  • No reported absences

The list may change before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal109-0-115:527
2Brighton107-1-226:722
3Manchester City107-0-321:1321
4Liverpool105-3-214:1018
5Chelsea105-1-419:1616
6Everton104-4-212:1016
7Bournemouth104-3-316:1415
8Brentford103-5-216:1114
9Leeds103-5-210:814
10Aston Villa103-4-314:1713
11Tottenham103-3-410:1112
12Newcastle103-3-413:1612
13Hull City102-5-311:1111
14Ipswich103-2-515:2011
15Fulham102-4-410:1210
16Nottingham Forest102-3-59:139
17Coventry103-0-710:199
18Manchester United101-5-414:198
19Sunderland102-2-68:178
20Crystal Palace102-1-710:247

Recent matches

Leeds

7 NovWLeeds 1–0 Tottenham
31 OctLBournemouth 2–0 Leeds
25 OctDSunderland 0–0 Leeds
18 OctDLeeds 1–1 Manchester United
10 OctLArsenal 2–1 Leeds

Coventry

6 NovLEverton 3–1 Coventry
31 OctWCoventry 3–1 Sunderland
24 OctLCoventry 0–1 Fulham
19 OctLTottenham 3–1 Coventry
12 OctWCoventry 4–1 Newcastle

Home and away

Leeds at home5 matches: 2W 3D 0L, goals 7–3
Coventry away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 3–10

Leeds vs Coventry: last matches of both teams

Leeds

W 7/11/26 · Leeds 1–0 Tottenham
L 31/10/26 · Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds
D 25/10/26 · Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
D 18/10/26 · Leeds 1–1 Manchester United
L 10/10/26 · Arsenal 2–1 Leeds

Coventry

L 6/11/26 · Everton 3–1 Coventry
W 31/10/26 · Coventry 3–1 Sunderland
L 24/10/26 · Coventry 0–1 Fulham
L 19/10/26 · Tottenham 3–1 Coventry
W 12/10/26 · Coventry 4–1 Newcastle

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.1%

Questions and answers

What is the tip for Leeds vs Coventry?

Leeds -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Over 2.5 goals (1.83).

Who will win Leeds vs Coventry?

By our estimate, the probabilities are: Leeds win 60%, draw 22%, Coventry win 17%.

When and where is the match played?

28 November 2026 at 15:00, venue: Elland Road, Leeds.

Who will be missing?

Leeds: no absences. Coventry: no absences. The list may change before the match.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals?

By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.83) and of under 2.5 goals 47% (odds 2.14).

Will both teams score?

We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 51% (odds 1.91).

What is the most likely correct score?

The most likely score is 1–0 (11.6%), followed by 2–0 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.4%).

How are your predictions made?

We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting involves risk. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win. Please gamble responsibly.

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