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Premier League · Matchweek 12 · 28 November 2026 · 15:00

Manchester United vs Brentford prediction, tip and odds – 28 November 2026, Premier League

1Manchester United2.24
XDraw3.92
2Brentford3.18

Best odds on the market · Updated 8/11/26, 12:52

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Our tip for Manchester United vs Brentford (Premier League, 28 November 2026, 15:00): Manchester United +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.69. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.53. The bookmakers' odds give Manchester United 44%, the draw 26% and Brentford 31%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Manchester United vs Brentford: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Manchester United +0 (Asian handicap)
1.69
Chance 59% · confidence medium

Wins: Manchester United win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Manchester United lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Chance 63% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
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Manchester United vs Brentford: match analysis

Why we made this tip

  1. Table. Manchester United are 18th with 8 points from 10 matches (1W 5D 4L); Brentford are 8th with 14 points (3W 5D 2L).

What to expect

We expect Manchester United to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect an open match with goals.

Interestingly, the table points towards the Brentford, while the market gives slightly better chances to the home side. That makes the match hard to read, so more cautious bets make sense.

Our goals tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we rate at 63%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 62% and of over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Key points of the prediction

  1. We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58%.
  2. Absences: Manchester United 0, Brentford 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes

Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 62%, best odds 1.53). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.

Absences

Manchester United will be without: no absences. Brentford are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.

Manchester United vs Brentford: odds comparison

Match result1X2
Best odds on the market2.243.923.18
Market average2.193.753.13
Lowest odds2.153.503.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6358.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.402.2841.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.5637.2%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.5%
BTTS – no2.452.4138.5%

The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 8/11/26, 12:52. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 4.4%.

All bookmakers →

Key facts

  • Likely result: Manchester United 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Manchester United 18th (8 points), Brentford 8th (14 points).
  • Absences: Manchester United 0, Brentford 0.

Who will win Manchester United vs Brentford?

Manchester United44%
Draw26%
Brentford31%

The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.

Manchester United vs Brentford: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.7% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Manchester United or draw (1X)69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.8% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.53
Likely
Both teams to score – yes61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.67
Possible
Manchester United to win43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.24
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.40
Outsider
Both teams to score – no38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.2% · fair odds 2.69 · best 2.62
Outsider
Brentford to win30.6% · fair odds 3.26 · best 3.18
Outsider
Draw25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.92
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.1%
2 : 19.1%
1 : 08.2%
1 : 27.5%
2 : 06.8%
0 : 16.7%

Manchester United vs Brentford: absences and injuries

Manchester United

  • No reported absences

Brentford

  • No reported absences

The list may change before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal109-0-115:527
2Brighton107-1-226:722
3Manchester City107-0-321:1321
4Liverpool105-3-214:1018
5Chelsea105-1-419:1616
6Everton104-4-212:1016
7Bournemouth104-3-316:1415
8Brentford103-5-216:1114
9Leeds103-5-210:814
10Aston Villa103-4-314:1713
11Tottenham103-3-410:1112
12Newcastle103-3-413:1612
13Hull City102-5-311:1111
14Ipswich103-2-515:2011
15Fulham102-4-410:1210
16Nottingham Forest102-3-59:139
17Coventry103-0-710:199
18Manchester United101-5-414:198
19Sunderland102-2-68:178
20Crystal Palace102-1-710:247

Recent matches

Manchester United

8 NovDManchester United 4–4 Aston Villa
31 OctLChelsea 2–0 Manchester United
25 OctLManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
18 OctDLeeds 1–1 Manchester United
10 OctDManchester United 1–1 Tottenham

Brentford

8 NovLBrighton 2–0 Brentford
31 OctWBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
25 OctDHull City 1–1 Brentford
17 OctLBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
10 OctDAston Villa 2–2 Brentford

Home and away

Manchester United at home5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 10–11
Brentford away5 matches: 0W 4D 1L, goals 6–8

Manchester United vs Brentford: last matches of both teams

Manchester United

D 8/11/26 · Manchester United 4–4 Aston Villa
L 31/10/26 · Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United
L 25/10/26 · Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
D 18/10/26 · Leeds 1–1 Manchester United
D 10/10/26 · Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham

Brentford

L 8/11/26 · Brighton 2–0 Brentford
W 31/10/26 · Brentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
D 25/10/26 · Hull City 1–1 Brentford
L 17/10/26 · Brentford 1–2 Liverpool
D 10/10/26 · Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

Questions and answers

What is the tip for Manchester United vs Brentford?

Manchester United +0 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Manchester United vs Brentford?

By our estimate, the probabilities are: Manchester United win 44%, draw 26%, Brentford win 31%.

When and where is the match played?

28 November 2026 at 15:00, venue: Old Trafford, Manchester.

Who will be missing?

Manchester United: no absences. Brentford: no absences. The list may change before the match.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals?

By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.67) and of under 2.5 goals 42% (odds 2.40).

Will both teams score?

We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 62% (odds 1.53).

What is the most likely correct score?

The most likely score is 1–1 (11.1%), followed by 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).

How are your predictions made?

We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting involves risk. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win. Please gamble responsibly.

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