EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fulham v Crystal Palace kicks off on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Craven Cottage (London), refereed by S. Hooper. In our view the favourites are Fulham (56%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Wins: Crystal Palace win, a draw. Stake back: Crystal Palace lose by 1. Loses: Crystal Palace lose by 2 or more.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Attack and defence. Fulham average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in the competition; Crystal Palace score 3.0 and concede 0.0.
- Form in the competition. Fulham: 2W 0D 0L, goals 6–2; Crystal Palace: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. Of their 17 meetings, Fulham have 3 wins and Crystal Palace 8 wins, with 6 draws; goals 20–25.
What to expect
We expect Fulham to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we rate at 62%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 58% and of over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Fulham 3 wins, 6 draws, Crystal Palace 8 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Fulham 6–2, Crystal Palace 3–0.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58%.
- Absences: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best odds 1.64). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Fulham will be without: no absences. Crystal Palace are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.74 | 4.13 | 4.76 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 4.03 | 4.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.28 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.6% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.4%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Fulham 2W 0D 0L (6:2), Crystal Palace 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 17 matches: Fulham 3W 6D 8L, goals 20–25.
- Absences: Fulham 0, Crystal Palace 0.
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: absences and injuries
Fulham
- No reported absences
Crystal Palace
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace: last matches of both teams
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
FulhamWWCrystal PalaceWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Fulham win 56%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace win 21%.
When and where is the match played?
28 October 2026 at 19:45, venue: Craven Cottage, London. Referee: S. Hooper.
Who will be missing?
Fulham: no absences. Crystal Palace: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.64) and of under 2.5 goals 42% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 58% (odds 1.62).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.4%), followed by 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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