EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Fleetwood Town against Arsenal: 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood), referee M. Salisbury. Arsenal (89%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Attack and defence. Fleetwood Town average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match in the competition; Arsenal score 4.0 and concede 2.0.
- Form in the competition. Fleetwood Town: 3W 0D 0L, goals 6–0; Arsenal: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
What to expect
We expect Arsenal to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 0–3, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 0–3 (13.5%). We expect an open match with goals.
Odds of 1.10 on the result are short, so the goals markets are worth a look too: Both teams not to score (odds 1.50), which we rate at 64%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 36% and of over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Key points of the prediction
- Goals for and against in the competition: Fleetwood Town 6–0, Arsenal 4–2.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 73%.
- Absences: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – no
Alternative: Both teams to score – no (probability 64%, best odds 1.50). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Fleetwood Town will be without: no absences. Arsenal are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 40.00 | 15.00 | 1.10 |
| Market average | 30.26 | 12.35 | 1.07 |
| Lowest odds | 14.44 | 7.91 | 1.03 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.44 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.70 | 2.58 | 36.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.0% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.7%.
Key facts
- Likely result: Fleetwood Town 0–3 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Fleetwood Town 3W 0D 0L (6:0), Arsenal 1W 0D 0L (4:2).
- Absences: Fleetwood Town 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards tips
Correct score prediction
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: absences and injuries
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: last matches of both teams
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
Team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Fleetwood TownWWWArsenalWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What is the tip for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
Over 3.5 goals (1.80); Arsenal to win (1.10).
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Fleetwood Town win 3%, draw 8%, Arsenal win 89%.
When and where is the match played?
27 October 2026 at 20:00, venue: Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood. Referee: M. Salisbury.
Who will be missing?
Fleetwood Town: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 73% (odds 1.32) and of under 2.5 goals 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 36% (odds 2.70).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 0–3 (13.5%), followed by 0–2 (12.4%) and 0–4 (10.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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